王佩琼¹，汤煜东¹，汤跃超²
    （1 华北（北京）电力大学，北京102206;2北京巨能通用技术有限责任公司，北京100038)

[摘要] 主要提出借鉴大尺度三维数值分析方法，开发建立以地壳为主要研究对象的三维地壳数值计算模型和计算技术，进行地壳大尺度应力、应变能动态分析计算，找出应力和应变能高度集中区，配合物探和钻探进行浅层校核，结合历史地震经验，进行地震可能发生区域、时域的预测预报。
[关键词] 地震；区域；时域；预测；地壳；三维数值分析；地质介质；强度；应变能

Violent earthquake's region and time domain forecast technique discussion and the reservoir induced earthquake research technique discusses
Wang Peiqiong¹, Tang Yudong¹, Tang Yuechao²
(1 North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China; 2 Beijing Juneng General Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing  100038, China)

Abstract: Three dimensional earth's crust numerical simulation model and the computation technology for the study of the earth's crust movement were established, using the big-dimension forecast numerical analysis method. The simulation calculation was made for the earth's crust stress and the strain energy dynamic analysis. The aim of the research is to forecast the region and time of earthquake by using the simulation analysis to find the concentration area of stress and the strain energy, comparing with the result of the geophysical prospecting and drilling, and checking the historic record of the earthquake.
Keywords: seismological; zone; forecast; earth's crust; three dimensional numerical analysis; geology dielectric; strength; strain energy